The Dispatch · 18 Jul 2026
The Dispatch — 18 July 2026
Us Drives Its Iran Campaign Into a Seventh Night of Strikes and Blockade Covers: Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Palestine.
The noise is deafening. The signal is rare.
Decision-ready work for governments, agencies, diplomatic missions, and investors who must act before the window closes.
Thousands of news articles per day. Think tank papers weekly. Embassy cables monthly. Social media by the second. None of it is structured. None of it is graded. Almost none of it distinguishes between what is known, what is inferred, and what is speculated.
Core Group exists to cut through this.
The Assessment · 14 July 2026 · On camera
Recognition Now, Withdrawal Deferred
Reading the Trilateral Framework between Lebanon, Israel and the United States: a text that grants Israel recognition on signing day and conditions any withdrawal on a disarmament the Lebanese state cannot compel. Three analysts, fourteen minutes, and the full assessment.
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OperationalSource File · 26 JUN 2026
The Nine Mediation Tracks Around Lebanon
Lebanon sits in the densest diplomatic field of the war. Nine concurrent tracks converge on a Lebanese settlement, and not one holds an instrument that binds Israeli behavior on the ground. Convergence is broad and the enforcement floor is empty.
Latest series
ThoughtPolemos · Series
A Genealogy of Levantine Defiance
Three Sunni scholars, twelve centuries apart, built one continuous argument against the single ruler and the single truth. From Al-Awzāʿī to Rashid Rida to the Red Sheikh of Beirut, the Levant's tradition of principled defiance was repressed in every era and refuted in none.
Praxis · Series
Fee Mustawa: The right tier of intelligence
A working account of running nearly twenty specialized AI agents as a newsroom infrastructure. What each narrow tool is actually for, why matching a job to the right tier of intelligence is the whole game, and where an LLM's stops being the right instrument.
The Forecasting Record
We grade our own forecasts, in public, including the ones we get wrong.
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Core Group is a Beirut-based strategic foresight house.
We read the Levant from inside it. Our work supports governments, diplomatic missions, and strategic investors who need to act before the decision window closes.
“Most analysis of Lebanon reads like it was written for someone who has never been here. We write for the people who have to decide, and we write with the assumption that they already know the headlines.”
Dr. Bassel Al Hasan
Chief Executive Officer
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